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π¨ OHUBNext | Sunday Brief: Markets, Power & The Buildersβ Dilemma
π¨ OHUBNext | Sunday Brief: Markets, Power & The Buildersβ Dilemma
Happy Sunday, Builders!
When power pauses, people pay the price. And this week, millions of Americans found themselves caught between politics and their livelihoods.
The United States entered its fifth day of a partial government shutdown this week, with more than 1.5 million federal workers either furloughed or working without pay.β¨The shutdown, which began on October 1, has paused or slowed operations across agencies including Education, Housing, Energy, and Commerce.
Economists estimate that between seven and fifteen billion dollars in GDP are lost for every week the shutdown continues.
Gregory Daco, Chief Economist at EY-Parthenon, Ernst & Young LLP, said, βEach week of shutdown reduces U.S. growth by roughly 0.1 percentage points. Itβs a political drama with very real economic consequences.β
On Tuesday, President Donald Trump told reporters: βWhen you shut it down, you have to do layoffs. So, weβd be laying off a lot of people that are going to be very affected β¦ and theyβre gonna be Democrats.ββ¨(Source: MSNBC, Oct. 2, 2025)
The president also said the administration could make βirreversibleβ cuts to programs affected by the funding lapse.β¨
According to NBC News reporting cited by MSNBC, Office of Management and Budget Director Russell Vought told House Republicans that federal employee firings could begin βwithin one to two daysβ if no budget agreement is reached.β¨Democratic lawmakers and federal unions disputed the legality of those threatened dismissals, noting that previous shutdowns did not involve large-scale layoffs.
No significant progress has been reported in negotiations between congressional leaders and the White House. Federal contractors and local governments are preparing for possible delays in grant disbursements and community program funding.
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πMarkets steady, Confidence brittle
Major U.S. stock indexes remained stable throughout the week. The S&P 500 is up roughly 14 percent year to date, though analysts warn that uncertainty around labor and inflation data could weigh on sentiment if the shutdown continues.
Bill Adams, Chief Economist at Comerica Bank, described current conditions as βa low-hire, low-fire, low-gear mode.ββ¨With the Bureau of Labor Statistics offline, traders and policy analysts are relying on private surveys and real-time spending data to fill the gap.
Dallas Federal Reserve President Lorie Logan said the central bank must βbe very cautious about rate cutsβ to avoid a βpainful reversal.β
Oil prices remained steady as OPEC signaled that it may increase output later this month. Venture-capital activity slowed further in September, and bank lending conditions tightened for small businesses.
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π Power plays at Home & Overseas
Internationally, Hamas announced that it had accepted parts of a U.S.-brokered ceasefire proposal in Gaza.
In the United States, the federal government authorized the deployment of National Guard units to Chicago to support public-safety operations, while a federal judge blocked a similar order in Portland on constitutional grounds.
Observers and civil-rights organizations are also monitoring potential coordination between National Guard units and U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE), which could affect border and interior enforcement activities.
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π¦ Black Business Spotlight | Dr Herriot Tabuteau
Haitian-born physician and entrepreneur Dr Herriot Tabuteau has built Axsome Therapeutics (NASDAQ: AXSM) into a company valued at about 6 billion dollars. The New York-based biotech firm develops treatments for depression, Alzheimerβs disease, and other neurological conditions.
In a Forbes interview published October 1, Tabuteau said,
βIf you do things exactly the same way as everybody else, youβre going to have the same outcomes.ββ¨
His approach emphasizes small clinical trials and targeted investments to reduce cost and speed drug development.
(Forbes, Oct. 1, 2025 β Read more here: shorturl.at/...)
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π§π½βπ» The Buildersβ Dilemma
Across the country, entrepreneurs and local leaders are adjusting to the shutdownβs ripple effects β managing cash flow, re-prioritizing projects, and seeking alternative funding sources.β¨While the federal slowdown creates uncertainty, it also highlights the growing importance of state, municipal, and private-sector partnerships to sustain innovation and employment.
βThe ground may be shaking,β one founder told OHUB Next, βbut thatβs when vision gets traction.β
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What to Watch This Week π
β’Federal dependencies β Expect continued delays in NIH, NSF, and DOE funding rounds. Federal research and education programs remain on hold.
β’ Municipal pivots β Cities are advancing infrastructure and workforce plans independently of Washington.β¨
β’ Capital re-mapping β State funds, mission-driven investors, and family offices may fill short-term gaps in liquidity.β¨
β’ Enforcement trends β Observers are tracking National Guard and ICE coordination for potential civil-liberties impacts.β¨
β’ Measure legitimacy, not noise β The next phase of economic recovery will depend on credibility and community trust as much as capital.
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π£οΈ Closing Summary
As the shutdown continues, negotiations in Washington remain at a standstill. Economists warn of mounting costs to households and businesses, while state and local leaders look for ways to sustain operations. Whether through policy agreement or public pressure, a resolution will determine how long the nationβs machinery stays idle β and who feels the strain first.
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OHUBNext Daily Brief β investments, edge tech, and moves that matter.β¨For more than twelve years, OHUB has built pathways to multigenerational wealth without reliance on inherited capital. Through exposure, skills, entrepreneurship, and capital markets, weβve helped people create new jobs, new companies, and new wealth.
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